Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000132 0.000145 0.000159 0.000175 0.000193 0.000212 0.000235
2025-11-09 0.000106 0.000125 0.000147 0.000175 0.000208 0.000247 0.000298
2025-11-16 0.000089 0.000111 0.000137 0.000172 0.000217 0.000274 0.000352
2025-11-23 0.000077 0.000099 0.000128 0.000167 0.000222 0.000294 0.000399
2025-11-30 0.000070 0.000093 0.000125 0.000170 0.000235 0.000325 0.000464
2025-12-07 0.000065 0.000089 0.000123 0.000173 0.000248 0.000358 0.000535
2025-12-14 0.000058 0.000083 0.000117 0.000170 0.000252 0.000376 0.000585
2025-12-21 0.000052 0.000076 0.000110 0.000164 0.000250 0.000385 0.000621
2025-12-28 0.000049 0.000072 0.000107 0.000164 0.000258 0.000411 0.000689
2026-01-04 0.000046 0.000069 0.000105 0.000165 0.000267 0.000439 0.000762
2026-01-11 0.000043 0.000066 0.000101 0.000163 0.000270 0.000456 0.000819
2026-01-18 0.000041 0.000063 0.000100 0.000164 0.000279 0.000484 0.000900
2026-01-25 0.000038 0.000060 0.000097 0.000162 0.000283 0.000505 0.000972
2026-02-01 0.000036 0.000058 0.000094 0.000162 0.000290 0.000533 0.001064
2026-02-08 0.000033 0.000055 0.000091 0.000159 0.000292 0.000553 0.001142
2026-02-15 0.000031 0.000051 0.000087 0.000155 0.000292 0.000566 0.001206
2026-02-22 0.000029 0.000050 0.000086 0.000158 0.000303 0.000606 0.001339
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000049 0.000086 0.000161 0.000317 0.000651 0.001492
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000047 0.000083 0.000158 0.000317 0.000668 0.001578
2026-03-15 0.000025 0.000044 0.000079 0.000152 0.000311 0.000669 0.001625
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000042 0.000078 0.000153 0.000319 0.000704 0.001768
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000041 0.000077 0.000154 0.000328 0.000743 0.001926
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000040 0.000075 0.000151 0.000330 0.000763 0.002037